Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.038342 0.041401 0.044611 0.048238 0.052226 0.056486 0.061387
2025-04-27 0.033843 0.038227 0.043085 0.048891 0.055668 0.063363 0.072808
2025-05-04 0.030344 0.035432 0.041303 0.048625 0.057572 0.068229 0.082002
2025-05-11 0.027796 0.033330 0.039926 0.048443 0.059251 0.072655 0.090757
2025-05-18 0.025728 0.031543 0.038666 0.048138 0.060558 0.076509 0.098906
2025-05-25 0.024105 0.030132 0.037697 0.048022 0.061963 0.080446 0.107340
2025-06-01 0.022481 0.028578 0.036389 0.047300 0.062414 0.083027 0.114001
2025-06-08 0.020987 0.027077 0.035026 0.046358 0.062426 0.084911 0.119710
2025-06-15 0.019839 0.025955 0.034079 0.045888 0.063007 0.087565 0.126682
2025-06-22 0.018829 0.024954 0.033221 0.045458 0.063574 0.090177 0.133734
2025-06-29 0.017772 0.023823 0.032109 0.044576 0.063382 0.091594 0.138961
2025-07-06 0.017251 0.023411 0.031978 0.045096 0.065293 0.096309 0.149859
2025-07-13 0.016594 0.022777 0.031500 0.045079 0.066395 0.099863 0.159206
2025-07-20 0.016152 0.022429 0.031416 0.045644 0.068427 0.105038 0.171799
2025-07-27 0.015519 0.021768 0.030829 0.045390 0.069118 0.108035 0.180803
2025-08-03 0.014956 0.021181 0.030322 0.045220 0.069918 0.111245 0.190456
2025-08-10 0.014405 0.020587 0.029769 0.044939 0.070499 0.114097 0.199677
2025-08-17 0.013934 0.020092 0.029343 0.044833 0.071355 0.117467 0.210186
2025-08-24 0.013362 0.019417 0.028604 0.044168 0.071196 0.118993 0.217176
2025-08-31 0.012780 0.018702 0.027771 0.043301 0.070624 0.119708 0.222572
2025-09-07 0.012329 0.018176 0.027215 0.042867 0.070789 0.121787 0.230964
2025-09-14 0.011913 0.017688 0.026698 0.042472 0.070991 0.123937 0.239693
2025-09-21 0.011433 0.017080 0.025961 0.041659 0.070376 0.124458 0.244920